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E ven as a Democrat took the White House, Montana voters supported Trump 57% to Biden’s 41% (albeit a diminished margin compared to Trump’s victory over Hillary Clinton four years earlier), sent a Republican to the Governor’s Office for the first time in 16 years, as well as to every other statewide position, and expanded an already sizable legislative majority by winning seats in some previously Democratic territory. In the rearview mirror is the 2020 election. “There aren’t a ton of $400 donations coming in, but you are seeing the volume of individual donations increase in high-profile races.” “I think it’s probably pretty abnormal to have legislative races in Montana like that,” Schreiner said. Jeremy Trebas, had raised $4,800 by the end of 2021. And a bill passed in the 2021 session increased donation limits for legislative candidates to $400, meaning more money in the local races that will ultimately determine whether the Montana GOP merely controls the agenda in Helena or dominates it.įormer House Minority Leader Casey Schreiner, a Democrat who’s now running for an open Great Falls-area Senate seat, had raised more than $12,500 by the end of 2021, and now says he’s at $20,000. Cora Neumann, the top fundraising Democrat in the race, has brought in more than $770,000. House district, has raised more than $1.4 million. Ryan Zinke, the likely frontrunner in the Republican primary for Montana’s newly created western U.S.
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In some races, even local ones, money is already pouring in. This year, more than 200 state legislative candidates had filed for the 125 seats in play by Valentine’s Day, including a handful of open seats in the Senate and more than a dozen in the House, according to the Montana Secretary of State, and 11 for either seat in Congress. House seats up for grabs, the possibility for a bicameral supermajority in the state Legislature on the horizon, and the first two years of the Joe Biden administration on the ballot, the stakes are high, the gears of political machinery at Democratic and Republican headquarters in the state are turning, and key themes are emerging. Some prospective electeds are likely still more concerned with calving season. Such a declaration might seem a bit premature – there’s still time for new candidates to enter their races, dozens of contested primaries to be sorted before June, nine months before November. The 2022 election in Montana is well underway.